Packers are Sunday Road Favorites at the Chiefs

The Green Bay Packers will be looking to extend their current straight-up winning streak to four games when they take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football as 4.5-point road favorites on the NFL betting odds.

Green Bay is coming off its best offensive performance of the season, a decisive 42-24 victory over the visiting Oakland Raiders that lifted the team’s SU record to 6-1 record going into Sunday night’s game at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Packers’ victory over Oakland as 5.5-point home favorites on the NFL lines also kept them atop the NFC North, and has bolstered their position on the Super Bowl odds where they now sit third, trailing only New England and New Orleans as a +900 bet. But despite averaging 32 points per game over their past four outings, the Packers have produced mixed results against the NFL spread, covering in just two of their past four outings to fall to 5-2 ATS so far in this NFL football season.

The team has surrendered a growing number of points over its past four outings, allowing 26 points per game after giving up fewer than 12 points per game while opening the campaign on a 3-0 SU run.

The Packers have also enjoyed somewhat of a favorable schedule to date, with five of their first seven games coming on home turf. However, Green Bay has risen to the occasion in a pair of tough road outings. The team opened the season with a stingy 10-3 win in Chicago as 3-point underdogs, and followed up in Week 5 with an impressive 34-24 victory over the NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys while pegged as 3.5-point road chalk.

Green Bay has struggled to produce wins in recent appearances on Sunday Night Football, losing outright in eight of nine outings since 2014, and scoring just 17 points in each of its past two appearances. However, the team has enjoyed some success in prime time appearances this season, posting wins in two of three, including a narrow 23-22 victory over the Detroit Lions last week on Monday Night Football.

 

Chiefs Facing Question Marks Heading into Week 8

While the Packers look to extend their win streak, the Chiefs face a number of question marks entering Week 8. Of greatest concern is the health of quarterback Patrick Mahomes. The NFL’s reigning MVP suffered a gruesome knee injury in a 30-6 rout of the Denver Broncos last Thursday and has been expected to miss at least three weeks. However, the 24-year-old stunned many observers by participating in practice on Wednesday in a limited manner.

Mahomes is not expected to return to action this week, with backup Matt Moore taking the first-team reps at practice. Mahomes is enjoying another spectacular year in his second season commanding the Kansas City offense, and leads the league with 2,180 passing yards and 15 touchdowns. But since leaving last week’s game with an injury, the Chiefs pivot has taken a tumble on the odds to repeat as league MVP down to +800 on those NFL odds.

Undoubtedly, the Chiefs would like to get Mahomes back under center as soon as possible. While the team dominated in last week’s victory in Denver, they can ill afford to take a step back this weekend after suffering consecutive losses in their past two home contests, to Indianapolis and Houston. Kansas City maintains a two-game lead over Oakland atop the AFC West standings, and sits as -450 chalk to repeat as divisional champions.

However, with a challenging schedule over the next six weeks that features matchups with Minnesota, the Raiders, and the Patriots, Kansas City will be eager to reverse a 1-2 SU run in three meetings with the Packers since 2003.

 

*Odds as of October 25, 2019

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