Colts in KC as Underdogs on Sunday Night NFL Odds

The Indianapolis Colts will be making their first trip to Kansas City since falling to defeat in last season’s AFC Divisional Playoffs when they take on the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football as 11-point underdogs on the NFL betting odds.

Indianapolis hits the road after turning in a disappointing performance in last weekend’s 31-24 loss to the visiting Oakland Raiders that dropped the team’s record to 2-2 going into Sunday night’s game at Arrowhead Stadium.

With the loss, the Colts failed to cover as 6-point home favorites on the NFL betting lines, marking their first against-the-spread defeat of the season. That also snapped the team’s seven-game straight-up win streak on home turf. However, Indianapolis should have little difficult finding motivation ahead of Sunday’s contest after suffering a lopsided 31-13 loss to the Chiefs as 4.5-point underdogs on the NFL odds that denied the Colts their first berth in the AFC Championship Game in four years.

A challenge for the Colts continues to be getting consistent results on the road. Indianapolis has split a pair of road contests this season, following up a 30-24 overtime loss to the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1 with a narrow 19-17 win in Tennessee. They now sport a middling 6-6 SU record in 12 road games since the start of the 2018 NFL season, including last season’s playoff loss in Kansas City.

Sporadic offensive production has contributed to the Colts’ uneven play on the road, with the team tallying 21 or fewer points in four of their past seven dates away from Lucas Oil Stadium. Despite their struggles to rack up points, though, the Colts have remained a steady wager on the road, going 4-1-1 ATS in their past six, and 7-4-1 ATS on the NFL lines since the beginning of last season.

And while the Colts have dropped two straight to Kansas City, they have otherwise enjoyed steady success against the Chiefs, going 13-4 SU in 17 overall meetings since the start of the 1985 NFL football season, including a 7-2 SU mark in nine visits to Arrowhead Stadium.

Chiefs Failed to Cover on the Week 4 NFL Lines

The Chiefs return home after eking out a narrow 34-30 win in Detroit last weekend to maintain a perfect 4-0 SU record. However, the victory over the Lions was far from easy. Kansas City needed a pair of fourth-quarter touchdown runs from Darrel Williams to secure the SU victory, which was not enough to cover as 7-point road chalk on the NFL spread, and resulted in the Chiefs’ first ATS loss of the season.

In addition, Kansas City almost let a 17-point second-half lead slip away in their only home date this season, surrendering three fourth-quarter scores while hanging on for a slender 33-28 win over the visiting Baltimore Ravens two weeks ago. While the Chiefs managed to earn the ATS win as 4.5-point home favorites in their Week 3 date with the Ravens, they have largely been a betting disappointment in recent outings on home turf, going 3-5 ATS in their past eight contests.

The Chiefs’ less than dominant play over the past two weeks has yet to have an impact on their positioning on the Super Bowl odds, where they continue to sit second to the defending champion New England Patriots at +500.

And after being kept out of the end zone in last week’s win over the Lions, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is expected to rebound on Sunday night against Indianapolis. Mahomes sports -120 odds of throwing for OVER 325.5 yards on Sunday, and is pegged as a -125 bet to throw for OVER 2.5 touchdowns.

However, it was the ground game that led the way when the Chiefs knocked off Indianapolis in last year’s playoffs, generating four scores while the Colts pass defense limited Mahomes to just 278 passing yards and no touchdown passes.

*Odds as of October 4th, 2019

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